Showing posts with label Tarun Gogoi. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Tarun Gogoi. Show all posts

Thursday, July 26, 2012

Ethnic Clashes in Assam: State Faces Serious Humanitarian Crisis, Policy of Appeasement


The ethnic clashes in Assam which spread from one district to another in the State, has gradually been engulfing the State in a fatal embrace and isolating it from the rest of the country. The battle is for limited resources, including jobs. Thus, when a group gains power through violence, it cannot be expected to serve the interests of other communities, especially the ones it was fighting in the first place. For the past few years an atmosphere had been building up for the present violence, with former Bodo militants cornering benefits, including those under government schemes, at the cost of the rest of the communities.

Animosity Between Bodos and Rising Muslims
The toll of those killed in ethnic and communal clashes, fuelled by animosity between Bodos and the rising population of Muslims who settled on tribal land, now stands at 40. The killings have led to one of the largest ever exoduses in Assam's recent history, with officials saying 1.7 lakh people from 400 villages in Kokrajhar, Chirang and Dhubri districts are now homeless and sheltered in 128 camps that dot the conflict zone.

In addition, a lot of people from Garubhata, Nepalpara, and Nangalbari villages in Chirang have become victim of the ongoing ethnic violence. However, the deployment of the Army has brought improvement in the situation.

Panic-stricken villagers are fleeing to relief camps or wherever their ethnic or religious group is in a majority using all modes of transport: from horse-drawn carts and hand-pulled rickshaws to bicycles, motorcycles and trucks. Hundreds were trekking through monsoon-drenched forests to escape armed militia from either side.

Not just Muslims, since July 23, more than 20,000 people from Bodo villages, too, have left their homes and set off on foot or carts for the 20-odd relief camps in and around Kokrajhar. Not less than 10,000 Bodos from Bilasipara area alone hit the road in search of shelter in relief camps. Trucks have become scarce as migration has increased. People are using various modes of transportation to reach Dhubri. More than 250 horse-drawn carts and 2,500 bicycles have left for Dhubri. Approximately 35 Muslim villages have become virtually empty now.

The Northeast Frontier Railway (NFR) resumed its train services partially which were paralyzed because of the ethnic clashes. More than 26 trains were cancelled and 37 regulated by NFR due to security reasons.

Failure of State and Federal Governments’ Machinery
The failure of both the state and federal governments, however, goes back further. The area is governed by the Bodo Territorial Autonomous District Council, which was formed in 2003 as a tool to end the Bodo tribal militancy that had been on since the eighties. The Bodos had long been working — often using violence — to oust what they called illegal immigrant (Muslim) settlers, as well as some other groups from Assam itself.

Given the utterly callous handling by the Government of the volatile situation, it is only fair that Chief Minister Tarun Gogoi be made to pay for his mistakes. But his defiant statements in recent times only point to his refusal to take responsibility. Yet, this is not the first time that the Gogoi government has failed to respond to a grave law and order challenge.

Swift action by law enforcement agencies could have calmed the situation. Instead, a security vacuum was allowed to fester, leading to retaliatory attacks that led to the death of four Bodo men. The killings expectedly sparked a series of attacks and counter-attacks but still the Congress-led government did nothing. This was despite local groups such as the All-Bodo Students Union reportedly pleading with it to deploy forces in areas that they had identified as vulnerable.

Confronting each other are violent elements among the Bodos and Muslims. Gang violence that started in Kokrajhar spread to more districts including Chirang, Dhubri and Bongaigaon, claiming some 40 lives. The rioting and torching has triggered an exodus. More than 1,70,000 people belonging to both the affected communities, as well as others, in the four districts have taken shelter in relief camps. The trigger was the firing on two student leaders of the All Bodoland Minority Students’ Union and the All Assam Minority Students’ Union in Kokrajhar. Thereupon, four former Bodo Liberation Tigers cadres were killed; that led to further attacks and counter-attacks. With the Bodos’ nationalistic assertion forming the historical backdrop to the tensions, aggressive elements from the two communities have clashed sporadically.

The ongoing violence in the Bodoland area, however, not only reiterates the governance deficit in Assam but also points to the dangerous game of vote-bank politics that the Congress has been playing for decades across the country. At the crux of this week's riots is the unchecked immigration of Bengali-Muslim workers from Bangladesh who now form a sizeable minority in the region (and are a captive vote-bank for the Congress). This has caused much displeasure within the Bodo community that does not appreciate having to share scarce resources and opportunities with the aliens.

Demand of Situation
It is believed that appeasement is a solution often required to put down a crisis at hand. But then it has to be followed by more permanent measures. West Assam never really moved toward economic consolidation after the peace bought 11 years ago. The North-East is a territory inhabited by fractious tribes, many of which have yet to feel fully integrated with the country.

Remember, the country is yet to recover from the shock of the Guwahati molestation case wherein a teenaged girl was sexually assaulted by a mob in full public view in the heart of the Assamese capital. During that incident, the local police was conspicuously late in arriving at the crime scene.

The immediate job is to contain the violence and tackle the serious humanitarian crisis. Those who have had to abandon home and hearth should be enabled to return. Transport links with the rest of the country need to be restored; thousands of passengers remain stranded in railway and bus stations. Talks between the adversary organizations should be quickly facilitated.


It is a fact that the state administration failed to react quickly after the first signs of trouble on July 19. Considering that there was a build-up of tensions over the past few months, vulnerable areas ought to have been identified and adequate forces deployed. It has been pointed out that in many of the places overrun by violence, the security forces were not visible at all. The deployment of the Army seems to have come too late in the day. The mapping of stress-spots on the basis of adequate intelligence inputs should be a priority at least from now.

Sunday, May 15, 2011

Assembly Elections 2011: Five States Vote Against Corruption, Bad Governance

The results of elections held in five states could not be unexpected; yet the results provide an opportunity to introspect to those political parties, which, once in power, disregarded people's welfare and interests. They easily forget that in a democracy, they have to be accountable of their performance to people after every five years.
The results of Assembly elections declared on 13 May signal a vote for change and a vote against corruption and poor governance. The spectacular rout of the Left in West Bengal and of the DMK in Tamil Nadu, however, overshadowed an equally spectacular vote for continuity in Assam.
Four of the five governments seeking renewed mandate in the states were tossed out by the electorate, with only the Congress government in Assam returning to power for the third consecutive term. And barring a photo-finish in Kerala, where the Congress-led United Democratic Front barely secured a majority, the voters dished out clear and decisive mandates in West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Assam and Puducherry.
Of the five states where elections were held, only in Assam and Puducherry the ruling party, the Congress, secured enough seats to form government yet again. In Assam, the Congress is in better position than after the election held in 2006, and now it can form government on its own. During the last election, it had to seek the help of other groups to form government. In Puducherry, the Congress is in a position to form government yet again. It is, however, a different issue that the Congress had to lose several seats from its earlier tally. In addition to these states, people have discarded the ruling groups and dethroned them from power in West Bengal, Kerala, and Tamil Nadu. Voters, thereby, conveyed a clear and sound message that they have the power and the authority to punish those who, in a democracy, strive to do whatever they want and indulge in corruption.
West Bengal
In West Bengal, Trinamool Congress leader Mamata Bannerjee juggernaut steamrolled the Left Front in West Bengal, dislodging the longest communist government in a democratic country after 34 long years. With her call for ‘Poribartan’ (change), Mamata (56) swept everything before her. Buddhadeb Bhattacharjee became the first Chief Minister since 1967 to lose his seat in the Assembly.
Barring Tamil Nadu, the Congress has benefited in two assemblies by way of returning to power. In two other assemblies, West Bengal and Kerala, its ally the Trinamool Congress and the party itself have made the ruling clans to bite dust. In West Bengal, election results are more than expected, but even better. Mamata Bannerjee has succeeded in dismantling the strong bastion of the Left in West Bengal. The Left has lost power in the state after several decades. The way the firebrand Trinamool Congress leader Mamata Bannerjee carried her electoral campaign in the state and the huge support she received during electioneering, made even the Left to accept indirectly that it is almost difficult to retain power.
The election results make it clear that people want a change. They want that the state should come out of the grip of politics of bandhs (strikes), and implement the development agenda. They want that new industries be set up in the state, and the state economy stabilized. Going by this people's mandate, Mamata Bannerjee faces a formidable challenge. This is because despite having been vanquished, the Left is not without strength. By the percentage of votes the Left has secured, they are in a strong position to pose serious challenges to Mamata Bannerjee. Also, she would have to maintain more cordial relationship with its ally, the Congress, so that she may take the state to the path of progress and development with the full support and assistance from the central government. This would make her task easier.
Tamil Nadu
The defeat of the alliance headed by Karunanidhi in Tamil Nadu is not entirely unexpected. Cash and caste also took a tumble in Tamil Nadu, where J. Jayalalithaa and AIADMK proved poll predictions of a hung house wrong. So comprehensive has been the victory of the Puratchi Thalaivi (Revolutionary Sister) that the AIADMK ended up winning as many as 151 of the 160 seats it contested. While Chief Minister M Karunanidhi won his seat, most of his cabinet ministers including son and chosen successor Stalin lost. The revelations being made almost every day in the 2G Spectrum scam makes one understand how some people indulge in plunder of national wealth. It, certainly, did cast its shadows on the results in the states. Moreover, the ever-increasing influence of members of his family in government affairs because of Karunanidhi's old age added fuel to fire in deteriorating the situation in the state. Traditionally, Tamil Nadu never returns the same ruling clan for a second term, and people handover power to the opposition every five years. The same has happened now. Almost the same, generally, takes place in Kerala. Yet, the Congress' victory this time assumes significance in that the party that was floated by Karunakaran could have played spoilsport for the Congress.
Assam
In Assam, Chief Minister Tarun Gogoi reaped the rewards for a slew of populist welfare measures. The Congress government in Assam had offered computer laptops to each student who passed the class X examination in the first division. It had announced cash incentives for girls born in government hospitals and offered working capital to widows to start their own small enterprises. “Good governance” and peace initiatives aimed at reconciling insurgents seem to have helped Gogoi reap the harvest.
Though the Congress has succeeded in returning to power, the most pertinent aspect of the election outcome is the remarkable performance of the All India United Democratic Front. The Front led by Badruddin Ajmal has not increased its earlier tally of 11 seats, but in other constituencies it fought neck-to-neck with its rivals, including the Congress. In sever al constituencies, it secured the second place. This situation rings alarm bells for the Congress that Muslims in Assam are distancing themselves from the Congress, and their confidence in the party headed by Badruddin Ajmal is on the rise.
Andhra Pradesh
In Andhra Pradesh, another breakaway group of the Congress, the YSR Congress formed by Y.S. Jaganmohan Reddy, has jolted the ruling party by the enormous margins of its victory in the by-elections to the Kadapa Lok Sabha and Pulivendula Assembly constituencies. The rise of the YSR Congress threatens to destabilise the demoralised Congress regime in South India's largest State, as many YSR loyalists might see political advantage in switching sides early.
Kerala
In the closest electoral battle Kerala has seen in recent decades, the Congress-led United Democratic Front has scraped past the Left Democratic Front in the 2011 Assembly elections. In the House of 140, the UDF bagged 72 seats, four more than the LDF led by the Communist Party if India (Marxist).
The UDF had scored massive wins in the 2009 Lok Sabha polls and the 2010 local body elections, but has now had to satisfy itself with a modest win.
In the nine-party UDF, the Congress has won 38 seats, the Indian Union Muslim League 20, the Kerala Congress (M) nine, the Socialist Janata (Democratic) two, and the Kerala Congress (B), the Kerala Congress (Jacob) and the RSP (Bolshevik) one each.
The CPI(M), heading the seven-party LDF, is the single largest party with 45 seats in the House. The CPI has won 13 seats, the Janata Dal (Secular) four and the RSP, the Nationalist Congress Party and LDF-backed independents two each. In the outgoing House, the LDF had 98 seats to the UDF's 42.
Setback for BJP
The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has nothing to cheer about the outcome of the five Assembly elections. The only consolation for the party is the victory of its nominees in the by-election to the three Assembly segments in Karnataka and the Bastar Lok Sabha constituency in Chhattisgarh.
The biggest disappointment for the party is in Assam where it had hoped to improve on its tally of 10 seats in the last Assembly poll. The party's strength in the State is down to four and the BJP attributed it to ‘disunity' in the Opposition ranks.
AssessmentOn the whole, people in three out of five states have given their verdict for a change. It is also clear that those indulging in corruption and ignoring people's interests would not be spared. It is a matter of conjecture how political parties take the message conveyed by people in their verdict.